Player Value Labs
Houston Astros

Lucas Spence

CFAge 23Pre-arb6 Years Control

Lucas Spence is a 23-year-old center fielder for the Houston Astros. He is a speedy center fielder, ranked 68th in the league at the position.

Power18Contact1Discipline35Speed74Fielding53Arm1890799510910098
Edge81
Stick98
Skill83
Carry84
LI90
CE117
NTV+9
6080100120140160202698Career StickYear-over-year underlying-skill trend
Power18Contact1Discipline35Speed74Fielding53Arm18907995109100986 Tools

Edge Profile

Edge combines Skill, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Skill of 83, Stick of 98, and Carry of 84, Lucas Spence sits in the 88th percentile, 94th percentile, and 88th percentile in those areas. His 81 Edge lands in the 92nd percentile and ranks 41st among center fielders.

Stick Profile

Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Lucas Spence's 98 Stick suggests he is performing below what his underlying profile supports his current output. It also places him in the 94th percentile and ranks 29th among center fielders.

Skill Profile

Skill measures the plays that have already happened and how much they affected games. Lucas Spence has performed poorly, and his production has likely cost Houston Astros games. Lucas Spence's 83 Skill sits in the 88th percentile and ranks 53rd among center fielders.

Carry Profile

Carry places Skill in the context of the roster around a player. The strongest rated teammates are Yordan Alvarez at 174, Josh Hader at 147, and Steven Okert at 144. Lucas Spence has contributed about as much as his own Skill suggests, resulting in a Carry of 84.

LI Profile

LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 23, Lucas Spence carries a 90 LI, which points to a shorter window before age or role begins to limit his value. That places him in the 38th percentile and ranks 49th among center fielders.

CE Profile

CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. Lucas Spence is under control for 6 seasons at a $0.8 million annual salary, with about $0.8 million remaining. His 117 CE makes the contract a clear source of surplus value, placing him in the 92nd percentile and 24th among center fielders.

NTV Profile

NTV estimates Lucas Spence's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His +9 NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 90th percentile and ranks 68th among center fielders. Lucas Spence has modest positive value, though the market return would depend heavily on fit and demand.

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