Player Value Labs
Houston Astros

Lucas Spence

CFAge 23Pre-arb

Lucas Spence is a 23-year-old center fielder for the Houston Astros. He is a speedy center fielder, ranked 181st in the league at the position.

Power18Contact1Discipline35Speed75Fielding53Arm1790799510910098
Edge81
Stick97
Skill84
Carry85
LI90
CE100
NTV-6
6080100120140160202697Career StickYear-over-year underlying-skill trend
Power18Contact1Discipline35Speed75Fielding53Arm17907995109100986 Tools

Edge Profile

Edge combines Skill, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Skill of 84, Stick of 97, and Carry of 85, Lucas Spence sits in the 89th percentile, 94th percentile, and 89th percentile in those areas. His 81 Edge lands in the 92nd percentile and ranks 46th among center fielders.

Stick Profile

Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Lucas Spence's 97 Stick suggests he is performing below what his underlying profile supports his current output. It also places him in the 94th percentile and ranks 34th among center fielders.

Skill Profile

Skill measures the plays that have already happened and how much they affected games. Lucas Spence has performed poorly, and his production has likely cost Houston Astros games. Lucas Spence's 84 Skill sits in the 89th percentile and ranks 54th among center fielders.

Carry Profile

Carry places Skill in the context of the roster around a player. The strongest rated teammates are Yordan Alvarez at 177, Steven Okert at 141, and Josh Hader at 134. Lucas Spence has contributed about as much as his own Skill suggests, resulting in a Carry of 85.

LI Profile

LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 23, Lucas Spence carries a 90 LI, which points to a shorter window before age or role begins to limit his value. That places him in the 38th percentile and ranks 53rd among center fielders.

CE Profile

CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. Lucas Spence is under control for less than one season at a minimal salary commitment annual salary, with about minimal salary commitment remaining. His 100 CE is close to a fair exchange between salary and production, placing him in the 45th percentile and 133rd among center fielders.

NTV Profile

NTV estimates Lucas Spence's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His -6 NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 5th percentile and ranks 181st among center fielders. Lucas Spence carries negative value, so a trade may require salary relief, a smaller return, or another asset.

Player Value Labs