Ethan Pecko
Ethan Pecko is a 24-year-old hybrid pitcher for the Houston Astros. He is a precision hybrid pitcher, ranked 10th in the league at the role.
About these ratings
Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.
Limited MLB evidence: 35.0% MLB and 65.0% level-adjusted minor-league estimate.
Minor-league estimate: 56.9% observed statistical weight and 43.1% historical peer baseline; individual tools use their own sample weights.
* On NTV, this indicates estimated or unverified inputs. CE uses an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable.
CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.
2026 win contribution
0.73 Player Wins · 0.78 expected from replacement · -0.05 wins above replacement
Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile
Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.
Edge Profile
Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 85, Stick of 78, and Carry of 90, Ethan Pecko sits in the 39th percentile, 8th percentile, and 44th percentile in those areas. His 68 Edge lands in the 18th percentile and ranks 67th among hybrid pitchers.
Stick Profile
Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Ethan Pecko's 78 Stick suggests he is performing close to the level supported by his underlying profile. It also places him in the 8th percentile and ranks 92nd among hybrid pitchers.
Perf Profile
Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Ethan Pecko's contributions to every team he played for. His 85 Perf is below average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 39th percentile and ranks 54th among hybrid pitchers.
Carry Profile
Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense +0.0, pitching +0.1, defense +0.1. The strongest rated teammates are Yordan Alvarez at 172, Isaac Paredes at 136, and Jeremy Peña at 130. Ethan Pecko has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 90.
LI Profile
LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 24, Ethan Pecko carries a 107 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 65th percentile and ranks 5th among hybrid pitchers.
CE Profile
CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 6 seasons control horizon, $0.8 million average annual value, and about $0.8 million in contract-scenario costs for Ethan Pecko. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 100 CE is close to a fair exchange between salary and production, placing him in the 11th percentile and 70th among hybrid pitchers.
NTV Profile
NTV estimates Ethan Pecko's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His +27* NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 95th percentile and ranks 10th among hybrid pitchers. Ethan Pecko carries clear positive value and should return a useful major league piece or prospect package.