Connelly Early
Connelly Early is a 24-year-old starting pitcher for the Washington Nationals. He is a movement starting pitcher, ranked 692nd in the league at the role.
About these ratings
Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.
CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.
2026 win contribution
2.83 Player Wins · 2.07 expected from replacement · 0.76 wins above replacement
Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile
Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.
Edge Profile
Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 96, Stick of 100, and Carry of 101, Connelly Early sits in the 73rd percentile, 65th percentile, and 75th percentile in those areas. His 98 Edge lands in the 74th percentile and ranks 74th among starting pitchers.
Stick Profile
Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Connelly Early's 100 Stick suggests he is performing close to the level supported by his underlying profile. It also places him in the 65th percentile and ranks 90th among starting pitchers.
Perf Profile
Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Connelly Early's contributions to every team he played for. His 96 Perf is around average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 73rd percentile and ranks 78th among starting pitchers.
Carry Profile
Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense +0.0, pitching +0.7, defense +0.3. The strongest rated teammates are CJ Abrams at 144, James Wood at 137, and Jacob Young at 125. Connelly Early has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 101.
LI Profile
LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 24, Connelly Early carries a 107 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 65th percentile and ranks 299th among starting pitchers.
CE Profile
CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 5 seasons control horizon, $0.8 million average annual value, and about $0.8 million in contract-scenario costs for Connelly Early. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 117 CE makes the contract a clear source of surplus value, placing him in the 92nd percentile and 160th among starting pitchers.
NTV Profile
NTV estimates Connelly Early's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His +11 NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 71st percentile and ranks 692nd among starting pitchers. Connelly Early carries clear positive value and should return a useful major league piece or prospect package.