Player Value Labs
Cleveland Guardians

Parker Messick

SPAge 26Pre-arb6 Years Control

Parker Messick is a 26-year-old starting pitcher for the Cleveland Guardians. He is a precision starting pitcher with good contact suppression, ranked 11th in the league at the role.

Velo37Movement30Command86Length50Supp94Arsenal2195971125011288
Edge164
Stick116
Perf136
Carry147
LI104
CE149
NTV+80

About these ratings

Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.

CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.

2026 win contribution

8.41 Player Wins · 4.46 expected from replacement · 3.94 wins above replacement

Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile

60801001201401602025112Career StickYear-over-year underlying-skill trend
Velo37Movement30Command86Length50Supp94Arsenal21959711250112886 Tools

Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.

Edge Profile

Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 136, Stick of 116, and Carry of 147, Parker Messick sits in the 97th percentile, 88th percentile, and 98th percentile in those areas. His 164 Edge lands in the 97th percentile and ranks 14th among starting pitchers.

Stick Profile

Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Parker Messick's 116 Stick suggests he is vastly outperforming what his underlying profile supports. It also places him in the 88th percentile and ranks 37th among starting pitchers.

Perf Profile

Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Parker Messick's contributions to every team he played for. His 136 Perf is excellent on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 97th percentile and ranks 10th among starting pitchers.

Carry Profile

Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense +0.0, pitching +7.0, defense -0.3. The strongest rated teammates are Steven Kwan at 142, Chase DeLauter at 119, and Cade Smith at 118. Parker Messick has carried more of the load than his individual results alone show, lifting his Carry to 147.

LI Profile

LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 26, Parker Messick carries a 104 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 45th percentile and ranks 1516th among starting pitchers.

CE Profile

CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 6 seasons control horizon, $0.8 million average annual value, and about $0.8 million in contract-scenario costs for Parker Messick. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 149 CE shows that the club is receiving far more value than the contract costs, placing him in the 100th percentile and 12th among starting pitchers.

NTV Profile

NTV estimates Parker Messick's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His +80 NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 100th percentile and ranks 11th among starting pitchers. Parker Messick would require a premium return in almost any realistic trade.

Player Value Labs