Player Value Labs
San Diego Padres

Jackson Merrill

CFAge 23Under Contract9 Years Control

Jackson Merrill is a 23-year-old center fielder for the San Diego Padres. He is a speedy center fielder with an elite arm and some power, ranked 4th in the league at the position.

Power89Contact42Discipline6Speed97Fielding44Arm98115978012699123
Edge159
Stick114
Perf133
Carry134
LI109
CE148
NTV+64

About these ratings

Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.

CE estimate: Annual cost for 2031 is estimated from incomplete terms. Annual cost for 2032 is estimated from incomplete terms. Annual cost for 2033 is estimated from incomplete terms. Annual cost for 2034 is estimated from incomplete terms.

CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.

2026 win contribution

6.82 Player Wins · 3.10 expected from replacement · 3.72 wins above replacement

Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile

608010012014016020241242025114Career StickYear-over-year underlying-skill trend
Power89Contact42Discipline6Speed97Fielding44Arm981159780126991236 Tools

Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.

Edge Profile

Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 133, Stick of 114, and Carry of 134, Jackson Merrill sits in the 97th percentile, 87th percentile, and 95th percentile in those areas. His 159 Edge lands in the 96th percentile and ranks 4th among center fielders.

Stick Profile

Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Jackson Merrill's 114 Stick suggests he is outperforming what his underlying profile supports. It also places him in the 87th percentile and ranks 9th among center fielders.

Perf Profile

Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Jackson Merrill's contributions to every team he played for. His 133 Perf is excellent on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 97th percentile and ranks 5th among center fielders.

Carry Profile

Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense +0.5, pitching +0.0, defense -4.5. The strongest rated teammates are Fernando Tatis Jr. at 136, Ty France at 123, and Mason Miller at 122. Jackson Merrill has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 134.

LI Profile

LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 23, Jackson Merrill carries a 109 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 79th percentile and ranks 27th among center fielders.

CE Profile

CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 9 seasons control horizon, $15 million average annual value, and about $135 million in contract-scenario costs for Jackson Merrill. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 148 CE shows that the club is receiving far more value than the contract costs, placing him in the 100th percentile and 3rd among center fielders.

NTV Profile

NTV estimates Jackson Merrill's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His +64 NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 99th percentile and ranks 4th among center fielders. Jackson Merrill is a major trade asset with enough value to anchor a significant deal.

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