Carson Williams
Carson Williams is a 23-year-old shortstop for the Tampa Bay Rays. He is a power-first shortstop, ranked 75th in the league at the position.
About these ratings
Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.
Limited MLB evidence: 31.0% MLB and 69.0% level-adjusted minor-league estimate.
Minor-league estimate: 70.7% observed statistical weight and 29.3% historical peer baseline; individual tools use their own sample weights.
* On NTV, this indicates estimated or unverified inputs. CE uses an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable.
CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.
2026 win contribution
-0.37 Player Wins · 0.19 expected from replacement · -0.56 wins above replacement
Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile
Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.
Edge Profile
Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 79, Stick of 85, and Carry of 84, Carson Williams sits in the 13th percentile, 19th percentile, and 16th percentile in those areas. His 68 Edge lands in the 18th percentile and ranks 52nd among shortstops.
Stick Profile
Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Carson Williams' 85 Stick suggests he is performing close to the level supported by his underlying profile. It also places him in the 19th percentile and ranks 42nd among shortstops.
Perf Profile
Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Carson Williams's contributions to every team he played for. His 79 Perf is well below average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 13th percentile and ranks 56th among shortstops.
Carry Profile
Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense -0.5, pitching +0.0, defense +0.1. The strongest rated teammates are Junior Caminero at 151, Drew Rasmussen at 151, and Liam Hicks at 128. Carson Williams has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 84.
LI Profile
LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 23, Carson Williams carries a 109 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 79th percentile and ranks 113th among shortstops.
CE Profile
CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 6 seasons control horizon, $0.8 million average annual value, and about $0.8 million in contract-scenario costs for Carson Williams. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 100 CE is close to a fair exchange between salary and production, placing him in the 11th percentile and 727th among shortstops.
NTV Profile
NTV estimates Carson Williams's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His +20* NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 90th percentile and ranks 75th among shortstops. Carson Williams carries clear positive value and should return a useful major league piece or prospect package.