Leo Bernal
Leo Bernal is a 22-year-old catcher for the St. Louis Cardinals. He is a contact-first catcher, ranked 27th in the league at the position.
About these ratings
Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.
Limited MLB evidence: 34.0% MLB and 66.0% level-adjusted minor-league estimate.
Minor-league estimate: 69.2% observed statistical weight and 30.8% historical peer baseline; individual tools use their own sample weights.
* On NTV, this indicates estimated or unverified inputs. CE uses an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable.
CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.
2026 win contribution
0.66 Player Wins · 0.46 expected from replacement · 0.20 wins above replacement
Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile
Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.
Edge Profile
Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 88, Stick of 111, and Carry of 93, Leo Bernal sits in the 54th percentile, 84th percentile, and 58th percentile in those areas. His 100 Edge lands in the 75th percentile and ranks 34th among catchers.
Stick Profile
Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Leo Bernal's 111 Stick suggests he is performing far below what his underlying profile supports. It also places him in the 84th percentile and ranks 17th among catchers.
Perf Profile
Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Leo Bernal's contributions to every team he played for. His 88 Perf is below average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 54th percentile and ranks 54th among catchers.
Carry Profile
Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense +1.6, pitching +0.0, defense -0.4. The strongest rated teammates are JJ Wetherholt at 136, Alec Burleson at 123, and Gordon Graceffo at 109. Leo Bernal has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 93.
LI Profile
LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 22, Leo Bernal carries a 106 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 52nd percentile and ranks 391st among catchers.
CE Profile
CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 6 seasons control horizon, $0.8 million average annual value, and about $0.1 million in contract-scenario costs for Leo Bernal. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 114 CE leans in the club's favor, placing him in the 89th percentile and 82nd among catchers.
NTV Profile
NTV estimates Leo Bernal's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His +35* NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 98th percentile and ranks 27th among catchers. Leo Bernal is a major trade asset with enough value to anchor a significant deal.