Player Value Labs
Cincinnati Reds

Chase Petty

SP/RPAge 23Pre-arb6 Years Control

Chase Petty is a 23-year-old hybrid pitcher for the Cincinnati Reds. He is a power hybrid pitcher, ranked 36th in the league at the role.

Velo77Movement64Command39*Length8*Supp25*Arsenal5311210398*8*96*100
Edge65
Stick79
Perf82
Carry87
LI107
CE101
NTV+15*

About these ratings

Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.

Limited MLB evidence: 39.8% MLB and 60.3% level-adjusted minor-league estimate.

Minor-league estimate: 58.5% observed statistical weight and 41.5% historical peer baseline; individual tools use their own sample weights.

* On NTV, this indicates estimated or unverified inputs. CE uses an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable.

CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.

2026 win contribution

0.54 Player Wins · 0.83 expected from replacement · -0.29 wins above replacement

Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile

6080100120140160202590Career StickYear-over-year underlying-skill trend
Velo77Movement64Command39*Length8*Supp25*Arsenal5311210398*8*96*1006 Tools

Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.

Edge Profile

Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 82, Stick of 79, and Carry of 87, Chase Petty sits in the 22nd percentile, 9th percentile, and 27th percentile in those areas. His 65 Edge lands in the 13th percentile and ranks 71st among hybrid pitchers.

Stick Profile

Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Chase Petty's 79 Stick suggests he is performing close to the level supported by his underlying profile. It also places him in the 9th percentile and ranks 87th among hybrid pitchers.

Perf Profile

Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Chase Petty's contributions to every team he played for. His 82 Perf is below average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 22nd percentile and ranks 70th among hybrid pitchers.

Carry Profile

Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense +0.0, pitching +0.5, defense +0.1. The strongest rated teammates are Elly De La Cruz at 180, Tyler Stephenson at 120, and Chase Burns at 117. Chase Petty has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 87.

LI Profile

LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 23, Chase Petty carries a 107 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 65th percentile and ranks 3rd among hybrid pitchers.

CE Profile

CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 6 seasons control horizon, $0.1 million average annual value, and about $0.1 million in contract-scenario costs for Chase Petty. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 101 CE is close to a fair exchange between salary and production, placing him in the 23rd percentile and 31st among hybrid pitchers.

NTV Profile

NTV estimates Chase Petty's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His +15* NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 82nd percentile and ranks 36th among hybrid pitchers. Chase Petty carries clear positive value and should return a useful major league piece or prospect package.

Player Value Labs