Julian Aguiar
Julian Aguiar is a 25-year-old starting pitcher for the Chicago Cubs. He is a power starting pitcher, ranked 426th in the league at the role.
About these ratings
Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.
Some tools are unavailable. MD means missing data; unavailable tools are left out of the graph, not scored as zero.
Limited MLB evidence: 12.3% MLB and 87.8% level-adjusted minor-league estimate.
Minor-league estimate: 47.0% observed statistical weight and 53.0% historical peer baseline; individual tools use their own sample weights.
* On NTV, this indicates estimated or unverified inputs. CE uses an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable.
CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.
2026 win contribution
0.06 Player Wins · 0.08 expected from replacement · -0.02 wins above replacement
Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile
Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.
Edge Profile
Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 86, Stick of 90, and Carry of 90, Julian Aguiar sits in the 45th percentile, 31st percentile, and 44th percentile in those areas. His 77 Edge lands in the 38th percentile and ranks 130th among starting pitchers.
Stick Profile
Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Julian Aguiar's 90 Stick suggests he is performing close to the level supported by his underlying profile. It also places him in the 31st percentile and ranks 164th among starting pitchers.
Perf Profile
Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Julian Aguiar's contributions to every team he played for. His 86 Perf is below average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 45th percentile and ranks 118th among starting pitchers.
Carry Profile
Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense +0.0, pitching -0.0, defense +0.0. The strongest rated teammates are Pete Crow-Armstrong at 201, Seiya Suzuki at 145, and Alex Bregman at 142. Julian Aguiar has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 90.
LI Profile
LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 25, Julian Aguiar carries a 104 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 45th percentile and ranks 1458th among starting pitchers.
CE Profile
CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 4 seasons control horizon, $0.8 million average annual value, and about $0.8 million in contract-scenario costs for Julian Aguiar. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 100 CE is close to a fair exchange between salary and production, placing him in the 11th percentile and 1557th among starting pitchers.
NTV Profile
NTV estimates Julian Aguiar's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His +17* NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 86th percentile and ranks 426th among starting pitchers. Julian Aguiar carries clear positive value and should return a useful major league piece or prospect package.