DJ Herz
DJ Herz is a 25-year-old starting pitcher for the Washington Nationals. He is a movement starting pitcher, ranked 462nd in the league at the role.
About these ratings
Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.
Limited MLB evidence: 32.6% MLB and 67.4% level-adjusted minor-league estimate.
Minor-league estimate: 27.7% observed statistical weight and 72.3% historical peer baseline; individual tools use their own sample weights.
* On NTV, this indicates estimated or unverified inputs. CE uses an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable.
CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.
2026 win contribution
-0.23 Player Wins · 0.16 expected from replacement · -0.38 wins above replacement
Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile
Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.
Edge Profile
Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 81, Stick of 99, and Carry of 85, DJ Herz sits in the 19th percentile, 61st percentile, and 19th percentile in those areas. His 78 Edge lands in the 40th percentile and ranks 127th among starting pitchers.
Stick Profile
Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. DJ Herz's 99 Stick suggests he is performing below what his underlying profile supports. It also places him in the 61st percentile and ranks 97th among starting pitchers.
Perf Profile
Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes DJ Herz's contributions to every team he played for. His 81 Perf is below average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 19th percentile and ranks 151st among starting pitchers.
Carry Profile
Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense +0.0, pitching -0.8, defense +0.0. The strongest rated teammates are CJ Abrams at 144, James Wood at 137, and Jacob Young at 125. DJ Herz has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 85.
LI Profile
LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 25, DJ Herz carries a 104 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 45th percentile and ranks 1376th among starting pitchers.
CE Profile
CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 5 seasons control horizon, $0.8 million average annual value, and about $0.8 million in contract-scenario costs for DJ Herz. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 105 CE leans in the club's favor, placing him in the 60th percentile and 742nd among starting pitchers.
NTV Profile
NTV estimates DJ Herz's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His +16* NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 84th percentile and ranks 462nd among starting pitchers. DJ Herz carries clear positive value and should return a useful major league piece or prospect package.