Player Value Labs
Toronto Blue Jays

Louis Varland

RPAge 28Pre-arb5 Years Control

Louis Varland is a 28-year-old relief pitcher for the Toronto Blue Jays. He is a power relief pitcher with an elite arsenal and good command, ranked 6th in the league at the role.

Velo96Movement22Command68Length49Supp72Arsenal991299410649104140
Edge160
Stick141
Perf122
Carry138
LI99
CE147
NTV+38

About these ratings

Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.

CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.

2026 win contribution

4.56 Player Wins · 1.73 expected from replacement · 2.83 wins above replacement

Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile

60801001201401602024972025118Career StickYear-over-year underlying-skill trend
Velo96Movement22Command68Length49Supp72Arsenal9912994106491041406 Tools

Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.

Edge Profile

Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 122, Stick of 141, and Carry of 138, Louis Varland sits in the 95th percentile, 98th percentile, and 96th percentile in those areas. His 160 Edge lands in the 96th percentile and ranks 4th among relief pitchers.

Stick Profile

Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Louis Varland's 141 Stick suggests he is performing below what his underlying profile supports. It also places him in the 98th percentile and ranks 12th among relief pitchers.

Perf Profile

Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Louis Varland's contributions to every team he played for. His 122 Perf is excellent on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 95th percentile and ranks 3rd among relief pitchers.

Carry Profile

Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense +0.0, pitching +9.2, defense -0.6. The strongest rated teammates are Dylan Cease at 143, Spencer Miles at 126, and Tyler Rogers at 115. Louis Varland has carried more of the load than his individual results alone show, lifting his Carry to 138.

LI Profile

LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 28, Louis Varland carries a 99 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 10th percentile and ranks 2761st among relief pitchers.

CE Profile

CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 5 seasons control horizon, $0.8 million average annual value, and about $0.8 million in contract-scenario costs for Louis Varland. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 147 CE shows that the club is receiving far more value than the contract costs, placing him in the 99th percentile and 7th among relief pitchers.

NTV Profile

NTV estimates Louis Varland's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His +38 NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 98th percentile and ranks 6th among relief pitchers. Louis Varland is a major trade asset with enough value to anchor a significant deal.

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