Player Value Labs
Cincinnati Reds

Carson Spiers

SP/RPAge 29Pre-arb3 Years Control

Carson Spiers is a 29-year-old hybrid pitcher for the Cincinnati Reds. He is a movement hybrid pitcher with good command, ranked 29th in the league at the role.

Velo19Movement78Command68*Length7*Supp29*Arsenal2286106106*7*97*88
Edge69
Stick85
Perf82
Carry87
LI104
CE100
NTV+18*

About these ratings

Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.

Limited MLB evidence: 39.1% MLB and 60.9% level-adjusted minor-league estimate.

Minor-league estimate: 32.8% observed statistical weight and 67.2% historical peer baseline; individual tools use their own sample weights.

* On NTV, this indicates estimated or unverified inputs. CE uses an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable.

CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.

2026 win contribution

-0.17 Player Wins · 0.16 expected from replacement · -0.33 wins above replacement

Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile

6080100120140160202481202579Career StickYear-over-year underlying-skill trend
Velo19Movement78Command68*Length7*Supp29*Arsenal2286106106*7*97*886 Tools

Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.

Edge Profile

Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 82, Stick of 85, and Carry of 87, Carson Spiers sits in the 22nd percentile, 19th percentile, and 27th percentile in those areas. His 69 Edge lands in the 20th percentile and ranks 62nd among hybrid pitchers.

Stick Profile

Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Carson Spiers' 85 Stick suggests he is performing close to the level supported by his underlying profile. It also places him in the 19th percentile and ranks 68th among hybrid pitchers.

Perf Profile

Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Carson Spiers's contributions to every team he played for. His 82 Perf is below average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 22nd percentile and ranks 69th among hybrid pitchers.

Carry Profile

Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense +0.0, pitching -0.1, defense +0.0. The strongest rated teammates are Elly De La Cruz at 180, Tyler Stephenson at 120, and Chase Burns at 117. Carson Spiers has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 87.

LI Profile

LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 29, Carson Spiers carries a 104 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 45th percentile and ranks 29th among hybrid pitchers.

CE Profile

CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 3 seasons control horizon, $0.8 million average annual value, and about $0.8 million in contract-scenario costs for Carson Spiers. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 100 CE is close to a fair exchange between salary and production, placing him in the 11th percentile and 57th among hybrid pitchers.

NTV Profile

NTV estimates Carson Spiers's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His +18* NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 88th percentile and ranks 29th among hybrid pitchers. Carson Spiers carries clear positive value and should return a useful major league piece or prospect package.

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