Player Value Labs
Houston Astros

Hunter Brown

SPAge 28Arb3 Years Control

Hunter Brown is a 28-year-old starting pitcher for the Houston Astros. He is a power starting pitcher with elite contact suppression and good movement, ranked 44th in the league at the role.

Velo80Movement81Command16Length60Supp99Arsenal38114107906011795
Edge130
Stick111
Perf114
Carry121
LI104
CE135
NTV+38

About these ratings

Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.

CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.

2026 win contribution

4.67 Player Wins · 2.47 expected from replacement · 2.20 wins above replacement

Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile

608010012014016020241052025117Career StickYear-over-year underlying-skill trend
Velo80Movement81Command16Length60Supp99Arsenal381141079060117956 Tools

Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.

Edge Profile

Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 114, Stick of 111, and Carry of 121, Hunter Brown sits in the 91st percentile, 84th percentile, and 92nd percentile in those areas. His 130 Edge lands in the 91st percentile and ranks 32nd among starting pitchers.

Stick Profile

Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Hunter Brown's 111 Stick suggests he is performing close to the level supported by his underlying profile. It also places him in the 84th percentile and ranks 47th among starting pitchers.

Perf Profile

Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Hunter Brown's contributions to every team he played for. His 114 Perf is above average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 91st percentile and ranks 29th among starting pitchers.

Carry Profile

Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense +0.0, pitching +2.9, defense +0.5. The strongest rated teammates are Yordan Alvarez at 172, Isaac Paredes at 136, and Jeremy Peña at 130. Hunter Brown has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 121.

LI Profile

LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 28, Hunter Brown carries a 104 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 45th percentile and ranks 1414th among starting pitchers.

CE Profile

CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 3 seasons control horizon, $5.7 million average annual value, and about $5.7 million in contract-scenario costs for Hunter Brown. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 135 CE shows that the club is receiving far more value than the contract costs, placing him in the 98th percentile and 44th among starting pitchers.

NTV Profile

NTV estimates Hunter Brown's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His +38 NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 98th percentile and ranks 44th among starting pitchers. Hunter Brown is a major trade asset with enough value to anchor a significant deal.

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