Player Value Labs
Houston Astros

Christian Roa

RPAge 27Pre-arb6 Years Control

Christian Roa is a 27-year-old relief pitcher for the Houston Astros. He is a power relief pitcher, ranked 92nd in the league at the role.

Velo65Movement55Command31*Length56*Supp72*Arsenal4310710195*56*104*97
Edge63
Stick78
Perf84
Carry88
LI99
CE100
NTV+17*

About these ratings

Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.

Limited MLB evidence: 12.3% MLB and 87.8% level-adjusted minor-league estimate.

Minor-league estimate: 46.0% observed statistical weight and 54.0% historical peer baseline; individual tools use their own sample weights.

* On NTV, this indicates estimated or unverified inputs. CE uses an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable.

CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.

2026 win contribution

0.04 Player Wins · 0.19 expected from replacement · -0.15 wins above replacement

Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile

6080100120140160202594Career StickYear-over-year underlying-skill trend
Velo65Movement55Command31*Length56*Supp72*Arsenal4310710195*56*104*976 Tools

Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.

Edge Profile

Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 84, Stick of 78, and Carry of 88, Christian Roa sits in the 32nd percentile, 8th percentile, and 31st percentile in those areas. His 63 Edge lands in the 10th percentile and ranks 465th among relief pitchers.

Stick Profile

Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Christian Roa's 78 Stick suggests he is performing close to the level supported by his underlying profile. It also places him in the 8th percentile and ranks 613th among relief pitchers.

Perf Profile

Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Christian Roa's contributions to every team he played for. His 84 Perf is below average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 32nd percentile and ranks 343rd among relief pitchers.

Carry Profile

Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense +0.0, pitching -0.4, defense +0.0. The strongest rated teammates are Yordan Alvarez at 172, Isaac Paredes at 136, and Jeremy Peña at 130. Christian Roa has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 88.

LI Profile

LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 27, Christian Roa carries a 99 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 10th percentile and ranks 2342nd among relief pitchers.

CE Profile

CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 6 seasons control horizon, $0.9 million average annual value, and about $0.9 million in contract-scenario costs for Christian Roa. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 100 CE is close to a fair exchange between salary and production, placing him in the 11th percentile and 2889th among relief pitchers.

NTV Profile

NTV estimates Christian Roa's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His +17* NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 86th percentile and ranks 92nd among relief pitchers. Christian Roa carries clear positive value and should return a useful major league piece or prospect package.

Player Value Labs