Victor Mesa Jr.
Victor Mesa Jr. is a 25-year-old right fielder for the Tampa Bay Rays. He is a glove-first right fielder, ranked 13th in the league at the position.
About these ratings
Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.
Limited MLB evidence: 93.7% MLB and 6.3% level-adjusted minor-league estimate.
Minor-league estimate: 49.0% observed statistical weight and 51.0% historical peer baseline; individual tools use their own sample weights.
* On NTV, this indicates estimated or unverified inputs. CE uses an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable.
CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.
2026 win contribution
4.21 Player Wins · 1.23 expected from replacement · 2.99 wins above replacement
Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile
Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.
Edge Profile
Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 124, Stick of 104, and Carry of 125, Victor Mesa Jr. sits in the 95th percentile, 75th percentile, and 93rd percentile in those areas. His 133 Edge lands in the 92nd percentile and ranks 11th among right fielders.
Stick Profile
Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Victor Mesa Jr.'s 104 Stick suggests he is vastly outperforming what his underlying profile supports. It also places him in the 75th percentile and ranks 27th among right fielders.
Perf Profile
Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Victor Mesa Jr.'s contributions to every team he played for. His 124 Perf is excellent on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 95th percentile and ranks 6th among right fielders.
Carry Profile
Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense -0.6, pitching +0.0, defense +2.2. The strongest rated teammates are Junior Caminero at 151, Drew Rasmussen at 151, and Liam Hicks at 128. Victor Mesa Jr. has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 125.
LI Profile
LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 25, Victor Mesa Jr. carries a 107 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 65th percentile and ranks 72nd among right fielders.
CE Profile
CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 6 seasons control horizon, $0.1 million average annual value, and about $0.1 million in contract-scenario costs for Victor Mesa Jr.. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 140 CE shows that the club is receiving far more value than the contract costs, placing him in the 98th percentile and 16th among right fielders.
NTV Profile
NTV estimates Victor Mesa Jr.'s value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His +35* NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 98th percentile and ranks 13th among right fielders. Victor Mesa Jr. is a major trade asset with enough value to anchor a significant deal.