Player Value Labs
Seattle Mariners

Bryce Miller

SPAge 28Under Contract2 Years Control

Bryce Miller is a 28-year-old starting pitcher for the Seattle Mariners. He is a power starting pitcher with an elite arsenal, ranked 404th in the league at the role.

Velo67Movement69Command64Length47Supp33Arsenal861081041054798116
Edge105
Stick110
Perf97
Carry100
LI104
CE137
NTV+17

About these ratings

Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.

CE estimate: Annual cost for 2027 is estimated from incomplete terms. Annual club costs do not reconcile with the reported obligation.

CE assumption: Future club options are modeled as exercise scenarios.

CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.

2026 win contribution

3.55 Player Wins · 2.69 expected from replacement · 0.86 wins above replacement

Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile

60801001201401602024110202595Career StickYear-over-year underlying-skill trend
Velo67Movement69Command64Length47Supp33Arsenal8610810410547981166 Tools

Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.

Edge Profile

Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 97, Stick of 110, and Carry of 100, Bryce Miller sits in the 74th percentile, 83rd percentile, and 73rd percentile in those areas. His 105 Edge lands in the 79th percentile and ranks 62nd among starting pitchers.

Stick Profile

Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Bryce Miller's 110 Stick suggests he is performing below what his underlying profile supports. It also places him in the 83rd percentile and ranks 50th among starting pitchers.

Perf Profile

Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Bryce Miller's contributions to every team he played for. His 97 Perf is around average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 74th percentile and ranks 74th among starting pitchers.

Carry Profile

Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense +0.0, pitching -0.4, defense -0.0. The strongest rated teammates are Randy Arozarena at 142, Bryan Woo at 130, and Cole Young at 109. Bryce Miller has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 100.

LI Profile

LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 28, Bryce Miller carries a 104 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 45th percentile and ranks 1328th among starting pitchers.

CE Profile

CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 2 seasons control horizon, $2.5 million average annual value, and about $5 million in contract-scenario costs for Bryce Miller. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 137 CE shows that the club is receiving far more value than the contract costs, placing him in the 98th percentile and 34th among starting pitchers.

NTV Profile

NTV estimates Bryce Miller's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His +17 NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 86th percentile and ranks 404th among starting pitchers. Bryce Miller carries clear positive value and should return a useful major league piece or prospect package.

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