Gus Varland
Gus Varland is a 30-year-old relief pitcher for the Washington Nationals. He is a movement relief pitcher with an elite arsenal, ranked 691st in the league at the role.
About these ratings
Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.
Limited MLB evidence: 46.0% MLB and 54.0% level-adjusted minor-league estimate.
Minor-league estimate: 31.9% observed statistical weight and 68.1% historical peer baseline; individual tools use their own sample weights.
* On NTV, this indicates estimated or unverified inputs. CE uses an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable.
CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.
2026 win contribution
-0.04 Player Wins · 0.71 expected from replacement · -0.75 wins above replacement
Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile
Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.
Edge Profile
Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 76, Stick of 98, and Carry of 80, Gus Varland sits in the 7th percentile, 57th percentile, and 7th percentile in those areas. His 67 Edge lands in the 16th percentile and ranks 432nd among relief pitchers.
Stick Profile
Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Gus Varland's 98 Stick suggests he is performing far below what his underlying profile supports. It also places him in the 57th percentile and ranks 320th among relief pitchers.
Perf Profile
Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Gus Varland's contributions to every team he played for. His 76 Perf is well below average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 7th percentile and ranks 488th among relief pitchers.
Carry Profile
Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense +0.0, pitching -2.1, defense +0.4. The strongest rated teammates are CJ Abrams at 144, James Wood at 137, and Jacob Young at 125. Gus Varland has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 80.
LI Profile
LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 30, Gus Varland carries a 97 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 3rd percentile and ranks 3205th among relief pitchers.
CE Profile
CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 6 seasons control horizon, $0.8 million average annual value, and about $0.8 million in contract-scenario costs for Gus Varland. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 105 CE leans in the club's favor, placing him in the 60th percentile and 1162nd among relief pitchers.
NTV Profile
NTV estimates Gus Varland's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His +10* NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 68th percentile and ranks 691st among relief pitchers. Gus Varland carries clear positive value and should return a useful major league piece or prospect package.