BJ Murray Jr.
BJ Murray Jr. is a 26-year-old first baseman for the Chicago Cubs. He is a power-first first baseman with a good eye, a big arm, and good contact skills, ranked 16th in the league at the position.
About these ratings
Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.
Limited MLB evidence: 3.7% MLB and 96.3% level-adjusted minor-league estimate.
Minor-league estimate: 72.4% observed statistical weight and 27.6% historical peer baseline; individual tools use their own sample weights.
* On NTV, this indicates estimated or unverified inputs. CE uses an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable.
CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.
2026 win contribution
-0.13 Player Wins · 0.04 expected from replacement · -0.18 wins above replacement
Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile
Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.
Edge Profile
Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 84, Stick of 95, and Carry of 88, BJ Murray Jr. sits in the 32nd percentile, 46th percentile, and 31st percentile in those areas. His 76 Edge lands in the 35th percentile and ranks 51st among first basemen.
Stick Profile
Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. BJ Murray Jr.'s 95 Stick suggests he is performing below what his underlying profile supports. It also places him in the 46th percentile and ranks 65th among first basemen.
Perf Profile
Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes BJ Murray Jr.'s contributions to every team he played for. His 84 Perf is below average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 32nd percentile and ranks 46th among first basemen.
Carry Profile
Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense -0.3, pitching +0.0, defense +0.0. The strongest rated teammates are Pete Crow-Armstrong at 201, Seiya Suzuki at 145, and Alex Bregman at 142. BJ Murray Jr. has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 88.
LI Profile
LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 26, BJ Murray Jr. carries a 109 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 79th percentile and ranks 145th among first basemen.
CE Profile
CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 6 seasons control horizon, $0.8 million average annual value, and about $0.8 million in contract-scenario costs for BJ Murray Jr.. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 100 CE is close to a fair exchange between salary and production, placing him in the 11th percentile and 201st among first basemen.
NTV Profile
NTV estimates BJ Murray Jr.'s value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His +25* NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 94th percentile and ranks 16th among first basemen. BJ Murray Jr. carries clear positive value and should return a useful major league piece or prospect package.