Player Value Labs
Boston Red Sox

Jarren Duran

LF/CFAge 30Arb3 Years Control

Jarren Duran is a 30-year-old left fielder for the Boston Red Sox. He is a speedy left fielder with a big arm and some power, ranked 128th in the league at the position.

Power78Contact27Discipline28Speed95Fielding1Arm88109919111982110
Edge39
Stick105
Perf48
Carry47
LI104
CE108
NTV0

About these ratings

Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.

CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.

2026 win contribution

-0.42 Player Wins · 2.58 expected from replacement · -3.00 wins above replacement

Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile

608010012014016020241182025116Career StickYear-over-year underlying-skill trend
Power78Contact27Discipline28Speed95Fielding1Arm881099191119821106 Tools

Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.

Edge Profile

Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 48, Stick of 105, and Carry of 47, Jarren Duran sits in the 1st percentile, 77th percentile, and 1st percentile in those areas. His 39 Edge lands in the 1st percentile and ranks 115th among left fielders.

Stick Profile

Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Jarren Duran's 105 Stick suggests he is performing far below what his underlying profile supports. It also places him in the 77th percentile and ranks 36th among left fielders.

Perf Profile

Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Jarren Duran's contributions to every team he played for. His 48 Perf is well below average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 1st percentile and ranks 116th among left fielders.

Carry Profile

Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense -0.6, pitching +0.0, defense -9.9. The strongest rated teammates are Wilyer Abreu at 140, Willson Contreras at 131, and Payton Tolle at 118. Jarren Duran has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 47.

LI Profile

LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 30, Jarren Duran carries a 104 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 45th percentile and ranks 138th among left fielders.

CE Profile

CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 3 seasons control horizon, $7.7 million average annual value, and about $7.7 million in contract-scenario costs for Jarren Duran. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 108 CE leans in the club's favor, placing him in the 76th percentile and 42nd among left fielders.

NTV Profile

NTV estimates Jarren Duran's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His 0 NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 9th percentile and ranks 128th among left fielders. Jarren Duran sits near neutral value, where salary relief and roster fit may matter as much as the player return.

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