Brayan Bello
Brayan Bello is a 27-year-old starting pitcher for the Boston Red Sox. He is a power starting pitcher, ranked 1693rd in the league at the role.
About these ratings
Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.
CE estimate: Annual cost for 2030 is estimated from incomplete terms. Annual club costs do not reconcile with the reported obligation.
CE assumption: Future club options are modeled as exercise scenarios.
CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.
2026 win contribution
3.34 Player Wins · 2.49 expected from replacement · 0.86 wins above replacement
Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile
Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.
Edge Profile
Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 97, Stick of 84, and Carry of 102, Brayan Bello sits in the 74th percentile, 17th percentile, and 76th percentile in those areas. His 88 Edge lands in the 61st percentile and ranks 94th among starting pitchers.
Stick Profile
Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Brayan Bello's 84 Stick suggests he is outperforming what his underlying profile supports. It also places him in the 17th percentile and ranks 196th among starting pitchers.
Perf Profile
Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Brayan Bello's contributions to every team he played for. His 97 Perf is around average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 74th percentile and ranks 73rd among starting pitchers.
Carry Profile
Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense +0.0, pitching +1.9, defense +0.3. The strongest rated teammates are Wilyer Abreu at 140, Willson Contreras at 131, and Payton Tolle at 118. Brayan Bello has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 102.
LI Profile
LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 27, Brayan Bello carries a 104 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 45th percentile and ranks 1319th among starting pitchers.
CE Profile
CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 5 seasons control horizon, $9.2 million average annual value, and about $59.3 million in contract-scenario costs for Brayan Bello. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 68 CE marks the contract as a substantial drag on his value, placing him in the 1st percentile and 1685th among starting pitchers.
NTV Profile
NTV estimates Brayan Bello's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His -30 NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 1st percentile and ranks 1693rd among starting pitchers. Brayan Bello is deeply underwater as a trade asset and would likely require substantial salary relief or added value to move.