Player Value Labs
Baltimore Orioles

Heston Kjerstad

LFAge 27Arb5 Years Control

Heston Kjerstad is a 27-year-old left fielder for the Baltimore Orioles. He is a power-first left fielder, ranked 81st in the league at the position.

Power69*Contact37*Discipline14*Speed26*Fielding51*Arm61*105*95*86*93*100*101*
Edge76
Stick91
Perf84
Carry88
LI109
CE100
NTV+11*

About these ratings

Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.

Limited MLB evidence: 43.7% MLB and 56.3% level-adjusted minor-league estimate.

Minor-league estimate: 58.4% observed statistical weight and 41.6% historical peer baseline; individual tools use their own sample weights.

CE estimate: Published annual cost differs from the payroll cross-check; the accounting or terms need reconciliation.

* On NTV, this indicates estimated or unverified inputs. CE uses an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable.

CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.

2026 win contribution

-0.08 Player Wins · 0.09 expected from replacement · -0.17 wins above replacement

Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile

6080100120140160202496202589Career StickYear-over-year underlying-skill trend
Power69*Contact37*Discipline14*Speed26*Fielding51*Arm61*105*95*86*93*100*101*6 Tools

Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.

Edge Profile

Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 84, Stick of 91, and Carry of 88, Heston Kjerstad sits in the 32nd percentile, 35th percentile, and 31st percentile in those areas. His 76 Edge lands in the 35th percentile and ranks 82nd among left fielders.

Stick Profile

Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Heston Kjerstad's 91 Stick suggests he is performing close to the level supported by his underlying profile. It also places him in the 35th percentile and ranks 91st among left fielders.

Perf Profile

Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Heston Kjerstad's contributions to every team he played for. His 84 Perf is below average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 32nd percentile and ranks 70th among left fielders.

Carry Profile

Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense -0.4, pitching +0.0, defense -0.1. The strongest rated teammates are Pete Alonso at 143, Trevor Rogers at 121, and Gunnar Henderson at 120. Heston Kjerstad has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 88.

LI Profile

LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 27, Heston Kjerstad carries a 109 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 79th percentile and ranks 62nd among left fielders.

CE Profile

CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 5 seasons control horizon, $0.8 million average annual value, and about $0.8 million in contract-scenario costs for Heston Kjerstad. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 100 CE is close to a fair exchange between salary and production, placing him in the 11th percentile and 100th among left fielders.

NTV Profile

NTV estimates Heston Kjerstad's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His +11* NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 71st percentile and ranks 81st among left fielders. Heston Kjerstad carries clear positive value and should return a useful major league piece or prospect package.

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