Gabriel Arias
Gabriel Arias is a 26-year-old third baseman for the Chicago Cubs. He is a power-first third baseman with a good glove and good speed, ranked 269th in the league at the position.
About these ratings
Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.
CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.
2026 win contribution
1.26 Player Wins · 0.68 expected from replacement · 0.58 wins above replacement
Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile
Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.
Edge Profile
Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 93, Stick of 85, and Carry of 97, Gabriel Arias sits in the 68th percentile, 19th percentile, and 69th percentile in those areas. His 84 Edge lands in the 55th percentile and ranks 33rd among third basemen.
Stick Profile
Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Gabriel Arias' 85 Stick suggests he is outperforming what his underlying profile supports. It also places him in the 19th percentile and ranks 63rd among third basemen.
Perf Profile
Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Gabriel Arias's contributions to every team he played for. His 93 Perf is below average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 68th percentile and ranks 21st among third basemen.
Carry Profile
Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense -0.7, pitching +0.0, defense +1.4. The strongest rated teammates are Pete Crow-Armstrong at 201, Seiya Suzuki at 145, and Alex Bregman at 142. Gabriel Arias has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 97.
LI Profile
LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 26, Gabriel Arias carries a 107 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 65th percentile and ranks 220th among third basemen.
CE Profile
CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 2 seasons control horizon, $0.8 million average annual value, and about $0.8 million in contract-scenario costs for Gabriel Arias. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 100 CE is close to a fair exchange between salary and production, placing him in the 11th percentile and 257th among third basemen.
NTV Profile
NTV estimates Gabriel Arias's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His 0 NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 9th percentile and ranks 269th among third basemen. Gabriel Arias sits near neutral value, where salary relief and roster fit may matter as much as the player return.