Shane Bieber
Shane Bieber is a 31-year-old starting pitcher for the Toronto Blue Jays. He is a movement starting pitcher with a deep arsenal, ranked 1664th in the league at the role.
About these ratings
Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.
Current club control is unverified. Any usable estimate uses the last available contract inputs and does not establish current trade rights.
Minor-league estimate: 26.0% observed statistical weight and 74.0% historical peer baseline; individual tools use their own sample weights.
CE inputs: Current contract information is unavailable. CE uses a neutral 100* fallback.
Neutral fallback: 0* NTV and 100* CE keep this player available in simulations while required inputs are reviewed.
* On NTV, this indicates estimated or unverified inputs. CE uses an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable.
CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.
2026 win contribution
1.31 Player Wins · 1.28 expected from replacement · 0.03 wins above replacement
Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile
Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.
Edge Profile
Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 86, Stick of 86, and Carry of 91, Shane Bieber sits in the 45th percentile, 21st percentile, and 50th percentile in those areas. His 75 Edge lands in the 33rd percentile and ranks 141st among starting pitchers.
Stick Profile
Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Shane Bieber's 86 Stick suggests he is performing close to the level supported by his underlying profile. It also places him in the 21st percentile and ranks 194th among starting pitchers.
Perf Profile
Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Shane Bieber's contributions to every team he played for. His 86 Perf is below average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 45th percentile and ranks 123rd among starting pitchers.
Carry Profile
Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense +0.0, pitching +0.1, defense +0.3. The strongest rated teammates are Dylan Cease at 143, Spencer Miles at 126, and Louis Varland at 122. Shane Bieber has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 91.
LI Profile
LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 31, Shane Bieber carries a 102 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 28th percentile and ranks 1641st among starting pitchers.
CE Profile
100* CE is a neutral placeholder because a usable contract-value estimate cannot yet be calculated. It keeps Shane Bieber available in simulations and does not establish fair contract value.
NTV Profile
0* NTV is a neutral placeholder, not a finding that Shane Bieber has no value. Required inputs are incomplete; the player remains selectable in every simulation.