Player Value Labs
Cleveland Guardians

Gavin Williams

SPAge 27Pre-arb4 Years Control

Gavin Williams is a 27-year-old starting pitcher for the Cleveland Guardians. He is a power starting pitcher with an elite arsenal, ranked 23rd in the league at the role.

Velo90Movement38Command28Length69Supp2Arsenal9112298946982119
Edge138
Stick120
Perf115
Carry122
LI104
CE141
NTV+54

About these ratings

Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.

CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.

2026 win contribution

6.69 Player Wins · 4.42 expected from replacement · 2.27 wins above replacement

Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile

6080100120140160202493202592Career StickYear-over-year underlying-skill trend
Velo90Movement38Command28Length69Supp2Arsenal91122989469821196 Tools

Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.

Edge Profile

Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 115, Stick of 120, and Carry of 122, Gavin Williams sits in the 92nd percentile, 91st percentile, and 92nd percentile in those areas. His 138 Edge lands in the 92nd percentile and ranks 24th among starting pitchers.

Stick Profile

Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Gavin Williams' 120 Stick suggests he is performing close to the level supported by his underlying profile. It also places him in the 91st percentile and ranks 31st among starting pitchers.

Perf Profile

Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Gavin Williams's contributions to every team he played for. His 115 Perf is above average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 92nd percentile and ranks 28th among starting pitchers.

Carry Profile

Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense +0.0, pitching +3.5, defense +0.2. The strongest rated teammates are Steven Kwan at 142, Parker Messick at 136, and Chase DeLauter at 119. Gavin Williams has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 122.

LI Profile

LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 27, Gavin Williams carries a 104 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 45th percentile and ranks 1402nd among starting pitchers.

CE Profile

CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 4 seasons control horizon, $0.8 million average annual value, and about $0.8 million in contract-scenario costs for Gavin Williams. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 141 CE shows that the club is receiving far more value than the contract costs, placing him in the 99th percentile and 25th among starting pitchers.

NTV Profile

NTV estimates Gavin Williams's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His +54 NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 99th percentile and ranks 23rd among starting pitchers. Gavin Williams is a major trade asset with enough value to anchor a significant deal.

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