Player Value Labs
Cincinnati Reds

Nick Lodolo

SPAge 28Arb2 Years Control

Nick Lodolo is a 28-year-old starting pitcher for the Cincinnati Reds. He is a precision starting pitcher, ranked 1650th in the league at the role.

Velo36Movement59Command58Length53Supp9Arsenal3695102103538995
Edge55
Stick90
Perf68
Carry73
LI104
CE87
NTV0

About these ratings

Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.

CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.

2026 win contribution

1.51 Player Wins · 2.92 expected from replacement · -1.41 wins above replacement

Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile

608010012014016020241072025121Career StickYear-over-year underlying-skill trend
Velo36Movement59Command58Length53Supp9Arsenal36951021035389956 Tools

Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.

Edge Profile

Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 68, Stick of 90, and Carry of 73, Nick Lodolo sits in the 2nd percentile, 31st percentile, and 2nd percentile in those areas. His 55 Edge lands in the 4th percentile and ranks 184th among starting pitchers.

Stick Profile

Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Nick Lodolo's 90 Stick suggests he is performing far below what his underlying profile supports. It also places him in the 31st percentile and ranks 165th among starting pitchers.

Perf Profile

Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Nick Lodolo's contributions to every team he played for. His 68 Perf is well below average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 2nd percentile and ranks 196th among starting pitchers.

Carry Profile

Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense +0.0, pitching -1.6, defense +0.6. The strongest rated teammates are Elly De La Cruz at 180, Tyler Stephenson at 120, and Chase Burns at 117. Nick Lodolo has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 73.

LI Profile

LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 28, Nick Lodolo carries a 104 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 45th percentile and ranks 1505th among starting pitchers.

CE Profile

CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 2 seasons control horizon, $4.7 million average annual value, and about $4.7 million in contract-scenario costs for Nick Lodolo. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 87 CE suggests the salary is running ahead of the expected return, placing him in the 1st percentile and 1680th among starting pitchers.

NTV Profile

NTV estimates Nick Lodolo's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His 0 NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 9th percentile and ranks 1650th among starting pitchers. Nick Lodolo sits near neutral value, where salary relief and roster fit may matter as much as the player return.

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