Player Value Labs
Tampa Bay Rays

Jonathan Aranda

1BAge 28Pre-arb4 Years Control

Jonathan Aranda is a 28-year-old first baseman for the Tampa Bay Rays. He is a power-first first baseman with a good eye, ranked 21st in the league at the position.

Power87Contact54Discipline69Speed5Fielding67Arm31141011068610283
Edge127
Stick127
Perf106
Carry111
LI109
CE141
NTV+22

About these ratings

Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.

CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.

2026 win contribution

4.69 Player Wins · 3.13 expected from replacement · 1.56 wins above replacement

Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile

608010012014016020241172025138Career StickYear-over-year underlying-skill trend
Power87Contact54Discipline69Speed5Fielding67Arm311410110686102836 Tools

Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.

Edge Profile

Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 106, Stick of 127, and Carry of 111, Jonathan Aranda sits in the 85th percentile, 95th percentile, and 86th percentile in those areas. His 127 Edge lands in the 90th percentile and ranks 15th among first basemen.

Stick Profile

Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Jonathan Aranda's 127 Stick suggests he is performing far below what his underlying profile supports. It also places him in the 95th percentile and ranks 12th among first basemen.

Perf Profile

Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Jonathan Aranda's contributions to every team he played for. His 106 Perf is above average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 85th percentile and ranks 18th among first basemen.

Carry Profile

Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense +5.0, pitching +0.0, defense +0.6. The strongest rated teammates are Junior Caminero at 151, Drew Rasmussen at 151, and Liam Hicks at 128. Jonathan Aranda has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 111.

LI Profile

LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 28, Jonathan Aranda carries a 109 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 79th percentile and ranks 185th among first basemen.

CE Profile

CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 4 seasons control horizon, $0.8 million average annual value, and about $0.8 million in contract-scenario costs for Jonathan Aranda. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 141 CE shows that the club is receiving far more value than the contract costs, placing him in the 99th percentile and 12th among first basemen.

NTV Profile

NTV estimates Jonathan Aranda's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His +22 NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 92nd percentile and ranks 21st among first basemen. Jonathan Aranda carries clear positive value and should return a useful major league piece or prospect package.

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