Rafael Marchán
Rafael Marchán is a 27-year-old catcher for the Philadelphia Phillies. He is a contact-first catcher, ranked 304th in the league at the position.
About these ratings
Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.
Limited MLB evidence: 56.0% MLB and 44.0% level-adjusted minor-league estimate.
Minor-league valuation uses season-decayed historical statistics because the current-season sample is limited.
Minor-league estimate: 21.7% observed statistical weight and 78.3% historical peer baseline; individual tools use their own sample weights.
* On NTV, this indicates estimated or unverified inputs. CE uses an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable.
CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.
2026 win contribution
-0.41 Player Wins · 0.47 expected from replacement · -0.88 wins above replacement
Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile
Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.
Edge Profile
Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 75, Stick of 70, and Carry of 78, Rafael Marchán sits in the 5th percentile, 3rd percentile, and 5th percentile in those areas. His 50 Edge lands in the 2nd percentile and ranks 109th among catchers.
Stick Profile
Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Rafael Marchán's 70 Stick suggests he is performing close to the level supported by his underlying profile. It also places him in the 3rd percentile and ranks 126th among catchers.
Perf Profile
Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Rafael Marchán's contributions to every team he played for. His 75 Perf is well below average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 5th percentile and ranks 104th among catchers.
Carry Profile
Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense -3.2, pitching +0.0, defense +0.6. The strongest rated teammates are Jesús Luzardo at 152, Cristopher Sánchez at 138, and Zack Wheeler at 136. Rafael Marchán has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 78.
LI Profile
LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 27, Rafael Marchán carries a 103 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 42nd percentile and ranks 739th among catchers.
CE Profile
CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 3 seasons control horizon, $0.9 million average annual value, and about $0.9 million in contract-scenario costs for Rafael Marchán. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 100 CE is close to a fair exchange between salary and production, placing him in the 11th percentile and 788th among catchers.
NTV Profile
NTV estimates Rafael Marchán's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His +9* NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 63rd percentile and ranks 304th among catchers. Rafael Marchán has modest positive value, though the market return would depend heavily on fit and demand.