Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is a 27-year-old first baseman for the Toronto Blue Jays. He is a power-first first baseman with good contact skills and a big arm, ranked 266th in the league at the position.
About these ratings
Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.
CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.
2026 win contribution
1.07 Player Wins · 2.76 expected from replacement · -1.69 wins above replacement
Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile
Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.
Edge Profile
Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 64, Stick of 136, and Carry of 72, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. sits in the 1st percentile, 98th percentile, and 2nd percentile in those areas. His 83 Edge lands in the 52nd percentile and ranks 39th among first basemen.
Stick Profile
Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s 136 Stick suggests he is performing far below what his underlying profile supports. It also places him in the 98th percentile and ranks 7th among first basemen.
Perf Profile
Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s contributions to every team he played for. His 64 Perf is well below average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 1st percentile and ranks 72nd among first basemen.
Carry Profile
Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense -0.2, pitching +0.0, defense +1.0. The strongest rated teammates are Dylan Cease at 143, Spencer Miles at 126, and Louis Varland at 122. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has carried more of the load than his individual results alone show, lifting his Carry to 72.
LI Profile
LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 27, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. carries a 109 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 79th percentile and ranks 231st among first basemen.
CE Profile
CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 14 seasons control horizon, $35.7 million average annual value, and about $480 million in contract-scenario costs for Vladimir Guerrero Jr.. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 99 CE is close to a fair exchange between salary and production, placing him in the 2nd percentile and 266th among first basemen.
NTV Profile
NTV estimates Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His -3 NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 1st percentile and ranks 266th among first basemen. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. carries negative value, so a trade may require salary relief, a smaller return, or another asset.