Player Value Labs
San Diego Padres

Fernando Tatis Jr.

RFAge 27Under Contract9 Years Control

Fernando Tatis Jr. is a 27-year-old right fielder for the San Diego Padres. He is a power-first right fielder with good speed and a good eye, ranked 4th in the league at the position.

Power96Contact55Discipline74Speed86Fielding77Arm2012310210811110493
Edge181
Stick144
Perf136
Carry144
LI107
CE149
NTV+86

About these ratings

Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.

CE estimate: Annual cost for 2031 is estimated from incomplete terms. Annual cost for 2032 is estimated from incomplete terms. Annual cost for 2033 is estimated from incomplete terms. Annual cost for 2034 is estimated from incomplete terms.

CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.

2026 win contribution

7.19 Player Wins · 3.28 expected from replacement · 3.91 wins above replacement

Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile

608010012014016020241372025135Career StickYear-over-year underlying-skill trend
Power96Contact55Discipline74Speed86Fielding77Arm20123102108111104936 Tools

Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.

Edge Profile

Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 136, Stick of 144, and Carry of 144, Fernando Tatis Jr. sits in the 97th percentile, 99th percentile, and 97th percentile in those areas. His 181 Edge lands in the 98th percentile and ranks 4th among right fielders.

Stick Profile

Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s 144 Stick suggests he is performing below what his underlying profile supports. It also places him in the 99th percentile and ranks 3rd among right fielders.

Perf Profile

Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Fernando Tatis Jr.'s contributions to every team he played for. His 136 Perf is excellent on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 97th percentile and ranks 4th among right fielders.

Carry Profile

Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense +7.9, pitching +0.0, defense -3.6. The strongest rated teammates are Jackson Merrill at 133, Ty France at 123, and Mason Miller at 122. Fernando Tatis Jr. has carried more of the load than his individual results alone show, lifting his Carry to 144.

LI Profile

LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 27, Fernando Tatis Jr. carries a 107 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 65th percentile and ranks 49th among right fielders.

CE Profile

CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 9 seasons control horizon, $24.3 million average annual value, and about $287.4 million in contract-scenario costs for Fernando Tatis Jr.. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 149 CE shows that the club is receiving far more value than the contract costs, placing him in the 100th percentile and 3rd among right fielders.

NTV Profile

NTV estimates Fernando Tatis Jr.'s value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His +86 NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 100th percentile and ranks 4th among right fielders. Fernando Tatis Jr. would require a premium return in almost any realistic trade.

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