Justin Lawrence
Justin Lawrence is a 31-year-old relief pitcher for the Washington Nationals. He is a power relief pitcher, ranked 3203rd in the league at the role.
About these ratings
Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.
Limited MLB evidence: 70.3% MLB and 29.7% level-adjusted minor-league estimate.
Minor-league estimate: 22.9% observed statistical weight and 77.1% historical peer baseline; individual tools use their own sample weights.
* On NTV, this indicates estimated or unverified inputs. CE uses an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable.
CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.
2026 win contribution
-0.71 Player Wins · 0.71 expected from replacement · -1.42 wins above replacement
Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile
Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.
Edge Profile
Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 68, Stick of 70, and Carry of 72, Justin Lawrence sits in the 2nd percentile, 3rd percentile, and 2nd percentile in those areas. His 38 Edge lands in the 1st percentile and ranks 506th among relief pitchers.
Stick Profile
Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Justin Lawrence's 70 Stick suggests he is performing close to the level supported by his underlying profile. It also places him in the 3rd percentile and ranks 634th among relief pitchers.
Perf Profile
Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Justin Lawrence's contributions to every team he played for. His 68 Perf is well below average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 2nd percentile and ranks 506th among relief pitchers.
Carry Profile
Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense +0.0, pitching -2.8, defense -0.1. The strongest rated teammates are CJ Abrams at 144, James Wood at 137, and Jacob Young at 125. Justin Lawrence has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 72.
LI Profile
LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 31, Justin Lawrence carries a 97 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 3rd percentile and ranks 3251st among relief pitchers.
CE Profile
CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a one season control horizon, $0.8 million average annual value, and about $0.8 million in contract-scenario costs for Justin Lawrence. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 100 CE is close to a fair exchange between salary and production, placing him in the 11th percentile and 3150th among relief pitchers.
NTV Profile
NTV estimates Justin Lawrence's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His 0* NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 9th percentile and ranks 3203rd among relief pitchers. Justin Lawrence sits near neutral value, where salary relief and roster fit may matter as much as the player return.