Player Value Labs
Toronto Blue Jays

Nathan Lukes

RFAge 32Pre-arb5 Years Control

Nathan Lukes is a 32-year-old right fielder for the Toronto Blue Jays. He is a contact-first right fielder with a big arm, ranked 87th in the league at the position.

Power7Contact94Discipline20Speed9Fielding67Arm95821238988102115
Edge102
Stick84
Perf108
Carry116
LI105
CE100
NTV0

About these ratings

Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.

CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.

2026 win contribution

3.74 Player Wins · 2.04 expected from replacement · 1.70 wins above replacement

Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile

6080100120140160202496202597Career StickYear-over-year underlying-skill trend
Power7Contact94Discipline20Speed9Fielding67Arm958212389881021156 Tools

Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.

Edge Profile

Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 108, Stick of 84, and Carry of 116, Nathan Lukes sits in the 87th percentile, 17th percentile, and 89th percentile in those areas. His 102 Edge lands in the 77th percentile and ranks 20th among right fielders.

Stick Profile

Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Nathan Lukes' 84 Stick suggests he is vastly outperforming what his underlying profile supports. It also places him in the 17th percentile and ranks 72nd among right fielders.

Perf Profile

Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Nathan Lukes's contributions to every team he played for. His 108 Perf is above average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 87th percentile and ranks 13th among right fielders.

Carry Profile

Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense +2.1, pitching +0.0, defense +0.5. The strongest rated teammates are Dylan Cease at 143, Spencer Miles at 126, and Louis Varland at 122. Nathan Lukes has carried more of the load than his individual results alone show, lifting his Carry to 116.

LI Profile

LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 32, Nathan Lukes carries a 105 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 47th percentile and ranks 86th among right fielders.

CE Profile

CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 5 seasons control horizon, $0.8 million average annual value, and about $0.8 million in contract-scenario costs for Nathan Lukes. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 100 CE is close to a fair exchange between salary and production, placing him in the 11th percentile and 81st among right fielders.

NTV Profile

NTV estimates Nathan Lukes's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His 0 NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 9th percentile and ranks 87th among right fielders. Nathan Lukes sits near neutral value, where salary relief and roster fit may matter as much as the player return.

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