Player Value Labs
Cincinnati Reds

Ke'Bryan Hayes

3BAge 29Under Contract5 Years Control

Ke'Bryan Hayes is a 29-year-old third baseman for the Cincinnati Reds. He is a glove-first third baseman with good contact skills and a big arm, ranked 299th in the league at the position.

Power24Contact84Discipline26Speed52Fielding98Arm88911139198115110
Edge46
Stick92
Perf59
Carry63
LI107
CE80
NTV-66

About these ratings

Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.

CE estimate: Annual cost for 2030 is estimated from incomplete terms. Annual club costs do not reconcile with the reported obligation.

CE assumption: Future club options are modeled as exercise scenarios.

CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.

2026 win contribution

-0.87 Player Wins · 1.28 expected from replacement · -2.14 wins above replacement

Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile

6080100120140160202496202592Career StickYear-over-year underlying-skill trend
Power24Contact84Discipline26Speed52Fielding98Arm889111391981151106 Tools

Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.

Edge Profile

Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 59, Stick of 92, and Carry of 63, Ke'Bryan Hayes sits in the 1st percentile, 38th percentile, and 1st percentile in those areas. His 46 Edge lands in the 1st percentile and ranks 65th among third basemen.

Stick Profile

Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Ke'Bryan Hayes' 92 Stick suggests he is performing far below what his underlying profile supports. It also places him in the 38th percentile and ranks 43rd among third basemen.

Perf Profile

Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Ke'Bryan Hayes's contributions to every team he played for. His 59 Perf is well below average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 1st percentile and ranks 66th among third basemen.

Carry Profile

Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense -5.5, pitching +0.0, defense +1.3. The strongest rated teammates are Elly De La Cruz at 180, Tyler Stephenson at 120, and Chase Burns at 117. Ke'Bryan Hayes has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 63.

LI Profile

LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 29, Ke'Bryan Hayes carries a 107 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 65th percentile and ranks 235th among third basemen.

CE Profile

CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 5 seasons control horizon, $8.8 million average annual value, and about $37.8 million in contract-scenario costs for Ke'Bryan Hayes. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 80 CE suggests the salary is running ahead of the expected return, placing him in the 1st percentile and 296th among third basemen.

NTV Profile

NTV estimates Ke'Bryan Hayes's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His -66 NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 1st percentile and ranks 299th among third basemen. Ke'Bryan Hayes is deeply underwater as a trade asset and would likely require substantial salary relief or added value to move.

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