Austin Riley
Austin Riley is a 29-year-old third baseman for the Atlanta Braves. He is a power-first third baseman with a good glove, ranked 81st in the league at the position.
About these ratings
Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.
CE estimate: Annual cost for 2031 is estimated from incomplete terms. Annual cost for 2032 is estimated from incomplete terms. Annual cost for 2033 is estimated from incomplete terms.
CE assumption: Future club options are modeled as exercise scenarios.
CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.
2026 win contribution
3.43 Player Wins · 2.98 expected from replacement · 0.45 wins above replacement
Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile
Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.
Edge Profile
Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 92, Stick of 119, and Carry of 93, Austin Riley sits in the 66th percentile, 91st percentile, and 58th percentile in those areas. His 107 Edge lands in the 80th percentile and ranks 19th among third basemen.
Stick Profile
Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Austin Riley's 119 Stick suggests he is performing far below what his underlying profile supports. It also places him in the 91st percentile and ranks 5th among third basemen.
Perf Profile
Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Austin Riley's contributions to every team he played for. His 92 Perf is below average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 66th percentile and ranks 22nd among third basemen.
Carry Profile
Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense -5.8, pitching +0.0, defense +3.2. The strongest rated teammates are Michael Harris II at 172, Chris Sale at 143, and Drake Baldwin at 133. Austin Riley has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 93.
LI Profile
LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 29, Austin Riley carries a 107 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 65th percentile and ranks 197th among third basemen.
CE Profile
CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 8 seasons control horizon, $21.2 million average annual value, and about $175.2 million in contract-scenario costs for Austin Riley. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 91 CE suggests the salary is running ahead of the expected return, placing him in the 1st percentile and 295th among third basemen.
NTV Profile
NTV estimates Austin Riley's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His +15 NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 82nd percentile and ranks 81st among third basemen. Austin Riley carries clear positive value and should return a useful major league piece or prospect package.