Player Value Labs
Chicago Cubs

Nico Hoerner

2BAge 29Under Contract7 Years Control

Nico Hoerner is a 29-year-old second baseman for the Chicago Cubs. He is a contact-first second baseman with good speed, ranked 307th in the league at the position.

Power2Contact100Discipline17Speed85Fielding5Arm72771388711088104
Edge81
Stick83
Perf93
Carry96
LI107
CE40
NTV-128

About these ratings

Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.

CE estimate: Annual cost for 2027 is estimated from incomplete terms. Annual cost for 2028 is estimated from incomplete terms. Annual cost for 2029 is estimated from incomplete terms. Annual cost for 2030 is estimated from incomplete terms. Annual cost for 2031 is estimated from incomplete terms. Annual cost for 2032 is estimated from incomplete terms.

CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.

2026 win contribution

3.10 Player Wins · 2.55 expected from replacement · 0.55 wins above replacement

Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile

6080100120140160202483202587Career StickYear-over-year underlying-skill trend
Power2Contact100Discipline17Speed85Fielding5Arm727713887110881046 Tools

Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.

Edge Profile

Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 93, Stick of 83, and Carry of 96, Nico Hoerner sits in the 68th percentile, 15th percentile, and 67th percentile in those areas. His 81 Edge lands in the 47th percentile and ranks 43rd among second basemen.

Stick Profile

Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Nico Hoerner's 83 Stick suggests he is outperforming what his underlying profile supports. It also places him in the 15th percentile and ranks 74th among second basemen.

Perf Profile

Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Nico Hoerner's contributions to every team he played for. His 93 Perf is below average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 68th percentile and ranks 32nd among second basemen.

Carry Profile

Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense -1.7, pitching +0.0, defense +2.0. The strongest rated teammates are Pete Crow-Armstrong at 201, Seiya Suzuki at 145, and Alex Bregman at 142. Nico Hoerner has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 96.

LI Profile

LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 29, Nico Hoerner carries a 107 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 65th percentile and ranks 253rd among second basemen.

CE Profile

CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 7 seasons control horizon, $11.7 million average annual value, and about $153 million in contract-scenario costs for Nico Hoerner. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 40 CE marks the contract as a substantial drag on his value, placing him in the 1st percentile and 310th among second basemen.

NTV Profile

NTV estimates Nico Hoerner's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His -128 NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 1st percentile and ranks 307th among second basemen. Nico Hoerner is deeply underwater as a trade asset and would likely require substantial salary relief or added value to move.

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