Pavin Smith
Pavin Smith is a 30-year-old first baseman for the Arizona Diamondbacks. He is a speedy first baseman with a good eye, ranked 213th in the league at the position.
About these ratings
Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.
CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.
2026 win contribution
-0.08 Player Wins · 0.54 expected from replacement · -0.62 wins above replacement
Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile
Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.
Edge Profile
Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 78, Stick of 107, and Carry of 83, Pavin Smith sits in the 11th percentile, 80th percentile, and 13th percentile in those areas. His 78 Edge lands in the 40th percentile and ranks 48th among first basemen.
Stick Profile
Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Pavin Smith's 107 Stick suggests he is performing far below what his underlying profile supports. It also places him in the 80th percentile and ranks 28th among first basemen.
Perf Profile
Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Pavin Smith's contributions to every team he played for. His 78 Perf is well below average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 11th percentile and ranks 66th among first basemen.
Carry Profile
Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense -0.6, pitching +0.0, defense -0.0. The strongest rated teammates are Gabriel Moreno at 163, Corbin Carroll at 156, and Geraldo Perdomo at 154. Pavin Smith has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 83.
LI Profile
LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 30, Pavin Smith carries a 107 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 65th percentile and ranks 247th among first basemen.
CE Profile
CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 2 seasons control horizon, $2.3 million average annual value, and about $2.3 million in contract-scenario costs for Pavin Smith. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 128 CE makes the contract a clear source of surplus value, placing him in the 97th percentile and 27th among first basemen.
NTV Profile
NTV estimates Pavin Smith's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His +2 NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 24th percentile and ranks 213th among first basemen. Pavin Smith has modest positive value, though the market return would depend heavily on fit and demand.