Matt Chapman
Matt Chapman is a 33-year-old third baseman for the San Francisco Giants. He is a glove-first third baseman with an elite arm, an elite eye, and some power, ranked 144th in the league at the position.
About these ratings
Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.
CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.
2026 win contribution
2.28 Player Wins · 1.35 expected from replacement · 0.93 wins above replacement
Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile
Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.
Edge Profile
Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 98, Stick of 119, and Carry of 106, Matt Chapman sits in the 76th percentile, 91st percentile, and 81st percentile in those areas. His 119 Edge lands in the 87th percentile and ranks 12th among third basemen.
Stick Profile
Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Matt Chapman's 119 Stick suggests he is performing far below what his underlying profile supports. It also places him in the 91st percentile and ranks 7th among third basemen.
Perf Profile
Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Matt Chapman's contributions to every team he played for. His 98 Perf is around average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 76th percentile and ranks 17th among third basemen.
Carry Profile
Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense +0.9, pitching +0.0, defense +3.3. The strongest rated teammates are Rafael Devers at 116, Bryce Eldridge at 113, and Landen Roupp at 113. Matt Chapman has carried more of the load than his individual results alone show, lifting his Carry to 106.
LI Profile
LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 33, Matt Chapman carries a 101 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 16th percentile and ranks 292nd among third basemen.
CE Profile
CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 5 seasons control horizon, $25.2 million average annual value, and about $125.8 million in contract-scenario costs for Matt Chapman. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 75 CE marks the contract as a substantial drag on his value, placing him in the 1st percentile and 297th among third basemen.
NTV Profile
NTV estimates Matt Chapman's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His +10 NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 68th percentile and ranks 144th among third basemen. Matt Chapman carries clear positive value and should return a useful major league piece or prospect package.