Player Value Labs
San Diego Padres

Griffin Canning

SP/RPAge 30Under Contract1 Years Control

Griffin Canning is a 30-year-old hybrid pitcher for the San Diego Padres. He is a movement hybrid pitcher with an elite arsenal, ranked 106th in the league at the role.

Velo43Movement46Command12Length38Supp14Arsenal939799883892123
Edge71
Stick92
Perf81
Carry83
LI102
CE101
NTV-20

About these ratings

Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.

CE estimate: Annual club costs do not reconcile with the reported obligation.

CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.

2026 win contribution

1.67 Player Wins · 2.08 expected from replacement · -0.41 wins above replacement

Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile

6080100120140160202488202592Career StickYear-over-year underlying-skill trend
Velo43Movement46Command12Length38Supp14Arsenal9397998838921236 Tools

Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.

Edge Profile

Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 81, Stick of 92, and Carry of 83, Griffin Canning sits in the 19th percentile, 38th percentile, and 13th percentile in those areas. His 71 Edge lands in the 24th percentile and ranks 58th among hybrid pitchers.

Stick Profile

Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Griffin Canning's 92 Stick suggests he is performing below what his underlying profile supports. It also places him in the 38th percentile and ranks 40th among hybrid pitchers.

Perf Profile

Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Griffin Canning's contributions to every team he played for. His 81 Perf is below average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 19th percentile and ranks 75th among hybrid pitchers.

Carry Profile

Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense +0.0, pitching -3.1, defense +0.2. The strongest rated teammates are Fernando Tatis Jr. at 136, Jackson Merrill at 133, and Ty France at 123. Griffin Canning has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 83.

LI Profile

LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 30, Griffin Canning carries a 102 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 28th percentile and ranks 89th among hybrid pitchers.

CE Profile

CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a one season control horizon, $2.5 million average annual value, and about $1 million in contract-scenario costs for Griffin Canning. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 101 CE is close to a fair exchange between salary and production, placing him in the 23rd percentile and 33rd among hybrid pitchers.

NTV Profile

NTV estimates Griffin Canning's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His -20 NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 1st percentile and ranks 106th among hybrid pitchers. Griffin Canning is deeply underwater as a trade asset and would likely require substantial salary relief or added value to move.

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