Bailey Ober
Bailey Ober is a 31-year-old starting pitcher for the Minnesota Twins. He is a precision starting pitcher with good movement, ranked 1482nd in the league at the role.
About these ratings
Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.
CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.
2026 win contribution
4.11 Player Wins · 2.99 expected from replacement · 1.11 wins above replacement
Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile
Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.
Edge Profile
Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 100, Stick of 99, and Carry of 104, Bailey Ober sits in the 79th percentile, 61st percentile, and 79th percentile in those areas. His 102 Edge lands in the 77th percentile and ranks 64th among starting pitchers.
Stick Profile
Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Bailey Ober's 99 Stick suggests he is performing close to the level supported by his underlying profile. It also places him in the 61st percentile and ranks 96th among starting pitchers.
Perf Profile
Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Bailey Ober's contributions to every team he played for. His 100 Perf is around average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 79th percentile and ranks 62nd among starting pitchers.
Carry Profile
Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense +0.0, pitching +0.2, defense +0.2. The strongest rated teammates are Brooks Lee at 121, Ryan Jeffers at 119, and Taj Bradley at 118. Bailey Ober has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 104.
LI Profile
LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 31, Bailey Ober carries a 102 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 28th percentile and ranks 1596th among starting pitchers.
CE Profile
CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 2 seasons control horizon, $5.2 million average annual value, and about $5.2 million in contract-scenario costs for Bailey Ober. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 103 CE is close to a fair exchange between salary and production, placing him in the 38th percentile and 1118th among starting pitchers.
NTV Profile
NTV estimates Bailey Ober's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His +3 NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 30th percentile and ranks 1482nd among starting pitchers. Bailey Ober has modest positive value, though the market return would depend heavily on fit and demand.