Player Value Labs
Philadelphia Phillies

José Alvarado

RPAge 31Under Contract1 Years Control

José Alvarado is a 31-year-old relief pitcher for the Philadelphia Phillies. He is a power relief pitcher, ranked 3460th in the league at the role.

Velo95Movement67Command10*Length37*Supp65*Arsenal112810487*37*103*63
Edge74
Stick85
Perf88
Carry94
LI97
CE74
NTV-33*

About these ratings

Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.

Current club control is unverified. Any usable estimate uses the last available contract inputs and does not establish current trade rights.

Limited MLB evidence: 98.6% MLB and 1.4% level-adjusted minor-league estimate.

Minor-league valuation uses season-decayed historical statistics because the current-season sample is limited.

Minor-league estimate: 3.0% observed statistical weight and 97.0% historical peer baseline; individual tools use their own sample weights.

CE estimate: Original guarantee ended; current salary/option exercise needs verification

* On NTV, this indicates estimated or unverified inputs. CE uses an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable.

CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.

2026 win contribution

1.57 Player Wins · 1.43 expected from replacement · 0.14 wins above replacement

Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile

6080100120140160202485202589Career StickYear-over-year underlying-skill trend
Velo95Movement67Command10*Length37*Supp65*Arsenal112810487*37*103*636 Tools

Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.

Edge Profile

Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 88, Stick of 85, and Carry of 94, José Alvarado sits in the 54th percentile, 19th percentile, and 62nd percentile in those areas. His 74 Edge lands in the 31st percentile and ranks 343rd among relief pitchers.

Stick Profile

Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. José Alvarado's 85 Stick suggests he is performing close to the level supported by his underlying profile. It also places him in the 19th percentile and ranks 563rd among relief pitchers.

Perf Profile

Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes José Alvarado's contributions to every team he played for. His 88 Perf is below average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 54th percentile and ranks 221st among relief pitchers.

Carry Profile

Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense +0.0, pitching +2.4, defense -0.3. The strongest rated teammates are Jesús Luzardo at 152, Cristopher Sánchez at 138, and Zack Wheeler at 136. José Alvarado has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 94.

LI Profile

LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 31, José Alvarado carries a 97 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 3rd percentile and ranks 3235th among relief pitchers.

CE Profile

CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a one season control horizon, $7.3 million average annual value, and about $9 million in contract-scenario costs for José Alvarado. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 74 CE marks the contract as a substantial drag on his value, placing him in the 1st percentile and 3463rd among relief pitchers.

NTV Profile

NTV estimates José Alvarado's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His -33* NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 1st percentile and ranks 3460th among relief pitchers. José Alvarado is deeply underwater as a trade asset and would likely require substantial salary relief or added value to move.

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