Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo is a 36-year-old starting pitcher for the Kansas City Royals. He is a precision starting pitcher with good movement, ranked 1702nd in the league at the role.
About these ratings
Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.
CE estimate: Annual cost for 2028 is estimated from incomplete terms. Annual club costs do not reconcile with the reported obligation.
CE assumption: Future club options are modeled as exercise scenarios.
CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.
2026 win contribution
2.97 Player Wins · 3.81 expected from replacement · -0.84 wins above replacement
Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile
Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.
Edge Profile
Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 75, Stick of 73, and Carry of 80, Seth Lugo sits in the 5th percentile, 4th percentile, and 7th percentile in those areas. His 52 Edge lands in the 3rd percentile and ranks 188th among starting pitchers.
Stick Profile
Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Seth Lugo's 73 Stick suggests he is performing close to the level supported by his underlying profile. It also places him in the 4th percentile and ranks 234th among starting pitchers.
Perf Profile
Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Seth Lugo's contributions to every team he played for. His 75 Perf is well below average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 5th percentile and ranks 186th among starting pitchers.
Carry Profile
Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense +0.0, pitching -0.7, defense +0.2. The strongest rated teammates are Bobby Witt Jr. at 155, Carter Jensen at 134, and Jac Caglianone at 120. Seth Lugo has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 80.
LI Profile
LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 36, Seth Lugo carries a 93 LI, which points to a shorter or less certain window due to role, age, or pitching risk. That places him in the 1st percentile and ranks 1701st among starting pitchers.
CE Profile
CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 3 seasons control horizon, $23 million average annual value, and about $66 million in contract-scenario costs for Seth Lugo. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 40 CE marks the contract as a substantial drag on his value, placing him in the 1st percentile and 1705th among starting pitchers.
NTV Profile
NTV estimates Seth Lugo's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His -133 NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 1st percentile and ranks 1702nd among starting pitchers. Seth Lugo is deeply underwater as a trade asset and would likely require substantial salary relief or added value to move.