Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola is a 33-year-old starting pitcher for the Philadelphia Phillies. He is a movement starting pitcher, ranked 1689th in the league at the role.
About these ratings
Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.
CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.
2026 win contribution
4.30 Player Wins · 4.45 expected from replacement · -0.15 wins above replacement
Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile
Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.
Edge Profile
Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 84, Stick of 106, and Carry of 86, Aaron Nola sits in the 32nd percentile, 78th percentile, and 23rd percentile in those areas. His 85 Edge lands in the 57th percentile and ranks 101st among starting pitchers.
Stick Profile
Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Aaron Nola's 106 Stick suggests he is performing far below what his underlying profile supports. It also places him in the 78th percentile and ranks 63rd among starting pitchers.
Perf Profile
Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Aaron Nola's contributions to every team he played for. His 84 Perf is below average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 32nd percentile and ranks 132nd among starting pitchers.
Carry Profile
Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense +0.0, pitching -2.9, defense +0.2. The strongest rated teammates are Jesús Luzardo at 152, Cristopher Sánchez at 138, and Zack Wheeler at 136. Aaron Nola has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 86.
LI Profile
LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 33, Aaron Nola carries a 98 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 5th percentile and ranks 1655th among starting pitchers.
CE Profile
CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 5 seasons control horizon, $24.6 million average annual value, and about $122.9 million in contract-scenario costs for Aaron Nola. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 47 CE marks the contract as a substantial drag on his value, placing him in the 1st percentile and 1692nd among starting pitchers.
NTV Profile
NTV estimates Aaron Nola's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His -16 NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 1st percentile and ranks 1689th among starting pitchers. Aaron Nola carries negative value, so a trade may require salary relief, a smaller return, or another asset.