Player Value Labs
Boston Red Sox

Willson Contreras

1BAge 34Under Contract2 Years Control

Willson Contreras is a 34-year-old first baseman for the Boston Red Sox. He is a power-first first baseman, ranked 6th in the league at the position.

Power98Contact18Discipline57Speed15Fielding59Arm771278710290101105
Edge168
Stick137
Perf131
Carry141
LI103
CE149
NTV+42

About these ratings

Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.

CE estimate: Annual club costs do not reconcile with the reported obligation.

CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.

2026 win contribution

5.78 Player Wins · 2.27 expected from replacement · 3.51 wins above replacement

Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile

608010012014016020241172025127Career StickYear-over-year underlying-skill trend
Power98Contact18Discipline57Speed15Fielding59Arm7712787102901011056 Tools

Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.

Edge Profile

Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 131, Stick of 137, and Carry of 141, Willson Contreras sits in the 96th percentile, 98th percentile, and 97th percentile in those areas. His 168 Edge lands in the 97th percentile and ranks 4th among first basemen.

Stick Profile

Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Willson Contreras' 137 Stick suggests he is performing close to the level supported by his underlying profile. It also places him in the 98th percentile and ranks 6th among first basemen.

Perf Profile

Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Willson Contreras's contributions to every team he played for. His 131 Perf is excellent on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 96th percentile and ranks 4th among first basemen.

Carry Profile

Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense +5.7, pitching +0.0, defense +1.8. The strongest rated teammates are Wilyer Abreu at 140, Payton Tolle at 118, and Ranger Suarez at 117. Willson Contreras has carried more of the load than his individual results alone show, lifting his Carry to 141.

LI Profile

LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 34, Willson Contreras carries a 103 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 42nd percentile and ranks 268th among first basemen.

CE Profile

CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 2 seasons control horizon, $17.5 million average annual value, and about $35 million in contract-scenario costs for Willson Contreras. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 149 CE shows that the club is receiving far more value than the contract costs, placing him in the 100th percentile and 4th among first basemen.

NTV Profile

NTV estimates Willson Contreras's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His +42 NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 99th percentile and ranks 6th among first basemen. Willson Contreras is a major trade asset with enough value to anchor a significant deal.

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