Caleb Thielbar
Caleb Thielbar is a 39-year-old relief pitcher for the Chicago Cubs. He is a precision relief pitcher with a deep arsenal and good movement, ranked 2646th in the league at the role.
About these ratings
Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.
Limited MLB evidence: 93.8% MLB and 6.3% level-adjusted minor-league estimate.
Minor-league valuation uses season-decayed historical statistics because the current-season sample is limited.
Minor-league estimate: 2.2% observed statistical weight and 97.8% historical peer baseline; individual tools use their own sample weights.
CE estimate: Annual club costs do not reconcile with the reported obligation.
* On NTV, this indicates estimated or unverified inputs. CE uses an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable.
CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.
2026 win contribution
0.95 Player Wins · 0.97 expected from replacement · -0.03 wins above replacement
Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile
Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.
Edge Profile
Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 86, Stick of 117, and Carry of 90, Caleb Thielbar sits in the 45th percentile, 89th percentile, and 44th percentile in those areas. His 92 Edge lands in the 67th percentile and ranks 140th among relief pitchers.
Stick Profile
Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Caleb Thielbar's 117 Stick suggests he is performing far below what his underlying profile supports. It also places him in the 89th percentile and ranks 72nd among relief pitchers.
Perf Profile
Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Caleb Thielbar's contributions to every team he played for. His 86 Perf is below average on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 45th percentile and ranks 270th among relief pitchers.
Carry Profile
Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense +0.0, pitching +0.9, defense -0.8. The strongest rated teammates are Pete Crow-Armstrong at 201, Seiya Suzuki at 145, and Alex Bregman at 142. Caleb Thielbar has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 90.
LI Profile
LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 39, Caleb Thielbar carries a 88 LI, which points to a shorter or less certain window due to role, age, or pitching risk. That places him in the 1st percentile and ranks 3435th among relief pitchers.
CE Profile
CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a one season control horizon, $4.5 million average annual value, and about $4 million in contract-scenario costs for Caleb Thielbar. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 138 CE shows that the club is receiving far more value than the contract costs, placing him in the 98th percentile and 26th among relief pitchers.
NTV Profile
NTV estimates Caleb Thielbar's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His +1* NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 17th percentile and ranks 2646th among relief pitchers. Caleb Thielbar has modest positive value, though the market return would depend heavily on fit and demand.