Shelby Miller
These ratings blend a limited performance sample with a historical peer baseline and remain provisional.
About these ratings
Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.
Some tools are unavailable. MD means missing data; unavailable tools are left out of the graph, not scored as zero.
Limited MLB evidence: 37.3% MLB and 62.7% level-adjusted minor-league estimate.
Minor-league valuation uses season-decayed historical statistics because the current-season sample is limited.
Minor-league estimate: 13.2% observed statistical weight and 86.8% historical peer baseline; individual tools use their own sample weights.
* On NTV, this indicates estimated or unverified inputs. CE uses an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable.
CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.
Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.
Edge Profile
Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable Shelby Miller is right now. There is not enough major league data to place him reliably against the rest of the league.
Stick Profile
Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Shelby Miller's 117 Stick suggests he is showing an underlying profile that cannot yet be compared cleanly with his results. It also places him in the 89th percentile and ranks 78th among relief pitchers.
Perf Profile
Perf measures the plays that have already happened and how much they affected games. Shelby Miller does not yet have enough major league work for a reliable Perf report.
Carry Profile
Carry places a player's Perf in the context of the roster around him. Shelby Miller does not yet have enough major league work for a reliable Carry report.
LI Profile
LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 36, Shelby Miller carries a 88 LI, which points to a shorter or less certain window due to role, age, or pitching risk. That places him in the 1st percentile and ranks 3460th among relief pitchers.
CE Profile
CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a 2 seasons control horizon, $1.3 million average annual value, and about $2.5 million in contract-scenario costs for Shelby Miller. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 115 CE makes the contract a clear source of surplus value, placing him in the 90th percentile and 236th among relief pitchers.
NTV Profile
NTV estimates Shelby Miller's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His +8* NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 58th percentile and ranks 1072nd among relief pitchers. Shelby Miller has modest positive value, though the market return would depend heavily on fit and demand.