Nolan Arenado
Nolan Arenado is a 35-year-old third baseman for the Arizona Diamondbacks. He is a contact-first third baseman with a good glove, ranked 202nd in the league at the position.
About these ratings
Tool ratings combine recorded performance with statistical estimates. Speed, arm, and fielding include outcome-based estimates rather than direct physical measurements.
CE estimate: Annual club costs do not reconcile with the reported obligation.
CE uses the best available contract information, including partial terms, estimated salaries, and projected team control. CE shows an asterisk only when current contract information is unavailable; free agents without a current agreement use 100*.
2026 win contribution
6.75 Player Wins · 2.64 expected from replacement · 4.11 wins above replacement
Includes contributions to every team played for in 2026. Perf expresses wins above replacement on a scale where 100 is average. How the win totals reconcile
Six-tool graphs show percentiles from available performance evidence. Speed uses baserunning outcomes; Arm uses position-adjusted throwing outcomes. Movement describes tracked pitch movement within pitch type. Minor-league comparisons account for competition level; unavailable measurements display MD.
Edge Profile
Edge combines Perf, Stick, and Carry to show how valuable a player is right now. With a Perf of 138, Stick of 82, and Carry of 139, Nolan Arenado sits in the 98th percentile, 13th percentile, and 96th percentile in those areas. His 138 Edge lands in the 92nd percentile and ranks 7th among third basemen.
Stick Profile
Stick looks beyond the immediate results and estimates what should hold over a larger sample. Nolan Arenado's 82 Stick suggests he is vastly outperforming what his underlying profile supports. It also places him in the 13th percentile and ranks 71st among third basemen.
Perf Profile
Perf measures season wins above replacement after allocating each team's actual wins to its players. It includes Nolan Arenado's contributions to every team he played for. His 138 Perf is excellent on a scale where 100 is average and 20 points is one standard deviation. It sits in the 98th percentile and ranks 4th among third basemen.
Carry Profile
Carry places Perf in the context of the roster around a player and includes a bounded clutch adjustment for offense, pitching, and defense when available. Close games and later innings earn more weight, and difficult defensive plays receive their own credit. His clutch runs are offense -4.0, pitching +0.0, defense +2.1. The strongest rated teammates are Gabriel Moreno at 163, Corbin Carroll at 156, and Geraldo Perdomo at 154. Nolan Arenado has contributed about as much as his own Perf suggests, resulting in a Carry of 139.
LI Profile
LI looks at how much useful baseball a player may still have ahead of him. At age 35, Nolan Arenado carries a 101 LI, which points to a steady near-term outlook without a major longevity advantage. That places him in the 16th percentile and ranks 293rd among third basemen.
CE Profile
CE compares expected production with the money and years attached to a contract. The model uses a one season control horizon, $32.5 million average annual value, and about $24.4 million in contract-scenario costs for Nolan Arenado. Options and arbitration can make those years or costs conditional; manual contract inputs may lag new agreements. His 119 CE makes the contract a clear source of surplus value, placing him in the 93rd percentile and 40th among third basemen.
NTV Profile
NTV estimates Nolan Arenado's value on a neutral trade market before the needs of a specific club are considered. His +5 NTV reflects his present ability, expected future value, age, contract, control, positional demand, and risk. That mark sits in the 42nd percentile and ranks 202nd among third basemen. Nolan Arenado has modest positive value, though the market return would depend heavily on fit and demand.